Most election prediction models that try to forecast who's going to win the presidency take into account some measure of how the economy is doing. That's because generally if it's going strong in the ...

An artificial intelligence model has produced a hypothetical prediction regarding the 2028 U.S. presidential election, even ...

Prediction markets, meanwhile, require participants to commit money to their forecasts. Even so, research comparing the two ...

As a scientist, I would never claim to have a crystal ball for seeing the future. But when it comes to predicting elections, there are some non-traditional tools from the social sciences that can ...

Two more ETF issuers have filed prospectuses for six US election prediction market ETFs, allowing investors to gain exposure to election outcomes. Exchange-traded fund issuers Bitwise and ...

Roundhill Investments filed for ETFs tracking 2028 election prediction markets. Roundhill’s Sports Betting ETF (BETZ) reached $1B in assets. Roundhill’s ETFs will track platforms like Polymarket where ...

Primary election season kicked off this week, ahead of the 2026 midterm elections in what is expected to be a heated and contentious race amid the looming SAVE Act and Democrats looking to win a ...

President Donald Trump talked of cancelling the midterm elections Tuesday — while immediately insisting in the same sentence that he was not suggesting it — in a warning to Republicans that if they ...

The rise of prediction markets has put the sports‑betting sector on alert, as consumers increasingly turn to platforms like Kalshi, Polymarket, and Robinhood to wager on sports outcomes — along with ...