Philosophy of Science, Vol. 50, No. 1 (Mar., 1983), pp. 82-95 (14 pages) The conditional probability of h given e is commonly claimed to be equal to the probability that h would have if e were learned ...

“One of the basic axioms of the rational theory of decision under uncertainty is Savage’s (1954) sure-thing principle (STP).

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Writes about the future of finance and technology, follow for more. Joint probability teaches us to calculate combined outcomes.

The American Statistician strives to publish articles of general interest to the statistical profession on topics that are important for a broad group of statisticians, and ordinarily not highly ...

"Yes or no: was there once life on Mars?" I can't say. "What about intelligent life?"' That seems most unlikely, but again, I can't really say. The simple yes-or-no framework has no place for shadings ...