Discover how probability distribution methods can help predict stock market returns and improve investment decisions. Learn ...

Probability has a popular meaning that is not the same as the mathematical meaning. As a small-business owner, you may act on hunches, guesses and instincts. After such actions, you might even say you ...

The World Science Festival's panel on Probability and Risk started out in an unusual manner: MIT's Josh Tennenbaum strode onto a stage and flipped a coin five times, claiming he was psychically ...

Mathematicians rely on numbers, but finding words to explain different levels of certainty has stymied everyone from the ...

Most humans don’t have a natural facility with probability. It’s not intuitive, like the ability to walk or talk. Learning the mechanics of chance takes time, but is less essential than, say, reading, ...

Life is uncertain. None of us know what is going to happen. We know little of what has happened in the past or is happening now outside our immediate experience. Uncertainty has been called the ...

Humans respond to environments that change at many different speeds. A video game player, for example, reacts to on-screen ...

Future events are far from certain in the business world. This is especially true for smaller businesses, which tend to have more volatility than larger organizations, or newer businesses without a ...

The outrage of the moment in my social media circles is over the New York Times hiring Bret Stephens as an opinion columnist, who promptly devoted his first regular column to sowing doubt about ...