Trump's leverage in the Middle East boosts expectations for a summit with Xi in mid-May. Visit to China by May 31 at 79.5% ...

Sir Olly Robbins will face MPs over Mandelson's vetting, raising pressure on Starmer; market for Starmer leaving by December ...

Iran warns of a decisive response to tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Trump's blockade lifting by May 31 at 85% YES.

JD Vance heads to Islamabad for US-Iran peace talks. Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief in April at 43% YES.

Iran conflict disrupts oil supply, raising European flight costs by $100. Oil at $90 by June 2026 priced at 71% YES.

US Navy seized an Iranian ship, increasing Gulf tensions. Military action by Gulf states against Iran by April 30 at 7.5% YES ...

John Ternus confirmed as Apple's next CEO starting September 1, 2026. Ternus as Apple CEO at 100% YES, while NVIDIA as ...

Gunvor warns of a global recession risk if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for three months. US recession in 2026 now at ...

Venezuela's Machado proposes selling oil for Bitcoin to build a national reserve. Bitcoin above $68K on April 16 at 100% YES.

Tucker Carlson regrets helping Trump win the 2024 election. Trump insulting Carlson by April 30 is at 100% YES.

IMO plans evacuation for ships in the Persian Gulf. Fewer than 10 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-19 ...

Iran vows no concessions to the US, complicating peace talks. US-Iran permanent peace deal by April 22 at 17.5% YES.