US Navy seized an Iranian ship, increasing Gulf tensions. Military action by Gulf states against Iran by April 30 at 7.5% YES ...

Sir Olly Robbins will face MPs over Mandelson's vetting, raising pressure on Starmer; market for Starmer leaving by December ...

Venezuela's Machado proposes selling oil for Bitcoin to build a national reserve. Bitcoin above $68K on April 16 at 100% YES.

Gunvor warns of a global recession risk if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for three months. US recession in 2026 now at ...

Iran vows no concessions to the US, complicating peace talks. US-Iran permanent peace deal by April 22 at 17.5% YES.

IMO plans evacuation for ships in the Persian Gulf. Fewer than 10 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-19 ...

JD Vance heads to Islamabad for US-Iran peace talks. Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief in April at 43% YES.

John Ternus confirmed as Apple's next CEO starting September 1, 2026. Ternus as Apple CEO at 100% YES, while NVIDIA as ...

The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its interest rate at 0.75% at its April 26-27 meeting, according to a Nikkei report.

Tucker Carlson regrets helping Trump win the 2024 election. Trump insulting Carlson by April 30 is at 100% YES.

Two Israeli reservists were wounded by a Hezbollah missile despite a ceasefire agreement. Ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES.

Iran demands the US publicly announce the Hormuz blockade lift, reflecting distrust. Blockade lift by May 31, 2026, at 85.5% ...