“One of the basic axioms of the rational theory of decision under uncertainty is Savage’s (1954) sure-thing principle (STP).

Discover how probability distribution methods can help predict stock market returns and improve investment decisions. Learn ...

Abstract: Inspired by works on the Markov process based steganalysis, we propose a new steganalysis technique based on the conditional probability statistics. Specifically we focus on its performance ...

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After pausing for nine months, the U.S. Federal Reserve resumed cutting interest rates on 17 September 2025. The recession forecasting method we've used to monitor the odds of a recession starting in ...

Introduction Brazil’s Bolsa Familia Program (BFP) is the world’s largest conditional cash transfer scheme. We shall use a large cohort of applicants for different social programmes to evaluate the ...

The following table depicts odds of a player shooting a net Score Differential or better based on their Handicap Index. It is a helpful resource to the Handicap Committee during their review of a ...

The odds of the U.S. economy slipping into a recession have grown in recent months, according to global financial services company UBS. In an analysis cited by Fortune, the global financial services ...

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...

Microsoft has extended Entra’s powerful access control capabilities to on-premises applications — but you’ll need to rid your network of NTLM to take advantage of adding cloud features to your Active ...

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